Expect Better: Storm hold first in the WNBA with their best yet to come
Have the Seattle Storm gotten the national attention they deserve for their start? Who knows.
But since we've seen enough to start formulating preliminary answers to pre-season questions around the league, accepted a few unaccepted surprises, and gotten a sense for the direction that many teams are headed, maybe a team that had a relatively boring off-season but remained solid will get a little more attention.
With their 90-72 victory over the Atlanta Dream last night, the Seattle Storm not only assume the top spot in the WNBA, but also continue their franchise best pace by starting the season 6-1. The win was arguably their best of an already impressive season. They're very good. However, the overwhelming feeling in the Storm locker room is that they are still hungry, as described by guard Tanisha Wright.
"Well, we've been good and obviously you want to be good," said Wright in her typically matter of fact tone when asked about the team's consecutive blowout victories. "But at the same time I don't think we've been our best, you know what I mean? Even tonight, we weren't our best."
Yes, this team is very good, but ironically in their best game of the season they had a turnover problem, normally a relative strength. And since Wright brought it up, let's take a look.
"We turned the ball over I don't know how many times," continued Wright. "But in the first quarter we had, four--"
When she stopped to recall the number of turnovers they had in the first quarter, I showed her the stats I was holding.
"Yeah, see we had four turnovers boom, boom, boom in the first two minutes or whatever," said Wright. "So we're still trying to get better. If we're doing those kind of things we're obviously not at our best."
Wright's assessment is correct -- they did have a rough first two minutes of the game: they committed turnovers on 4 of their first 5 possessions before Camille Little scored the first field goal on an assist from Sue Bird just under 8 minutes. After that first few minutes of poor ball control, the Storm only committed one more turnover for the quarter. However, the problem got worse before it got better in the 2nd and 3rd quarters.
The Storm finished the game with 21 turnovers for a turnover rate -- the ratio of turnovers per possession -- of 25.80%. Just to put that in perspective, their turnover rate for the season has been 11%. Even in that 84-75 road loss against the Chicago Sky that most everyone just tried to put behind them, they didn't have any higher than a 24.5% turnover rate in any given quarter.
In the second quarter of last night's game, they had turnover rates of 35.7% in the second quarter (compared to the Dream's 22.93%) and 33.6% in the third quarter (compared to the Dream's 22.93%). In other words, while 7 turnovers in each of those quarters might not immediately strike you as problematic, it becomes more troublesome when you think about it in terms of tossing the ball away on every third possession.
"We were just a little fast, fast in what we were doing," said Wright. "Instead of really just taking our time and just executing. That's basically it. Some of the things like Swin dropped one that she should've caught. It's just normal things, normal things you know."
So how did they survive those stretches? It helps that they shot 72.7% (8 of 11) in the 2nd quarter and 50% in the third along with 5 offensive rebounds. Lauren Jackson hitting 4 of 4 free throws in the second didn't hurt either. Even if a team is coughing up the ball with such frequency, being able to make up for it by maximizing the remaining possessions is a winning formula.
Yet apparently -- if we take Wright's words at face value -- this is a team looking to make "normal" an error free existence. If they can accomplish that, they're well on their way to maintaining their position at the top of the league.
"It's a game of errors," said Dream coach Marynell Meadors when asked about some of their early turnovers. "Whoever makes the least errors wins the game."
Obviously, the Storm made less errors overall than the Dream, who also had early turnover problems, foul trouble, and shooting struggles to say the least (4-22 in the first quarter). However, that seems to minimize what makes this game so impressive: at times they couldn't rely on controlling the ball by maintaining possession, they found ways to maximize their possessions by shooting well above their season norm of 41.14%. Their shooting efficiency ended up being the key. The Storm had an effective shooting percentage -- their shooting percentage accounting for the additional value of three point shots -- of 61.21% compared to the Dream's 40.41%, which included winning the battle of points in the paint 42 to 24.
It's part of what makes this team special -- they're versatile not only in the sense that coach Brian Agler has more options this season than he has before, but also in the sense that they have personnel that can adapt when things aren't quite going the way they would like. That's not just a matter of making the least errors but finding ways to mitigate those errors with positives.
It allows them to learn from the situation, but also do so with a bit of extra confidence.
"We're at a point where we're just trying to get better each time we step out on the floor," said Wright.
Flaws aside, if they continue to get better every time they step out on the floor, they'll eventually be at a point where opponents will have a difficult time staying within single digits of the team with the league's best record.
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If the Storm can play better than last night
then there isn’t a team in the WNBA that can stop them. They didn’t just beat Atlanta. They dumped the Dream from the top spot by fully exposing every one of Atlanta’s weaknesses (lack outside shooting, inadequate PG play on both ends, playable depth, head coaching, you name it) on national TV.
That’s what we call a full-fledged beatdown.
I'd caution...
that Atlanta was also on the 4th game of a 4 game road trip…so it’s reasonable to say fatigue — mental or physical — was a factor.
And then you can’t really entirely dismiss the foul trouble factor either…
If I were to make a prediction, the game will be very different in Atlanta…
SwishAppeal.com, women's basketball...covered SBN-style... twitter: @qmccall3
The season is long enough for drama and some topsy-turvy among the league's best
It’s a darn great start by both the Storm and the Dream…
FeverWeek.net - because it's getting hot in here.
The Storm can definitely play better than they did last night or for the entire start of the season. Their defense is only at about 75-80% of what it has been in the past. Outside of Jackson and Wright, much of the team seems about a 1/4 of a step slow on defensive rotations and Willingham is still about a 1/2 step slow. Offensively, they are still a little sloppy, and they won’t see such fantastic shooting percentages every night. They have been the most efficient offense in the league this season, likely due to keeping their starting core intact, but they will tighten up as the season progresses. The trouble is that other teams have MORE room for improvement and will get a lot better over the course of the season. I expect a lot more tight games in the remaining 3/4 of the season.
Most of the teams that have more room for improvement
are either banged up (so they can’t practice with a full squad) or the pieces just don’t fit (like the revolving door of Tulsa). Could teams catching up to a healthy (key word) Seattle squad? Sure, but it would take a great amount of effort in a very short amount of time. I just don’t see it happening.
"The trouble is that other teams have MORE room for improvement and will get a lot better over the course of the season."
Entirely agree with your worry about other teams getting better: the nationally televised game prior to last night’s Storm game should be solid evidence of that — the Lynx have been playing 1-3 players down all season….
However, their defense is of McCoughtry — both Cash, Svet, and Wright’s individual D and team D — was quite impressive. I think when you’re paying so much attention to 1 player, other lapses happen.
On Willingham, I’d actually suggest the bigger improvement might take place on the offensive end — she went 1-4, but if I recall correctly, most of those were makeable, though not uncontested, layups.
The high shooting/turnover percentages are one part of why I can’t read too much into this one game — both teams played out of character and the Storm are still peaking so it’s hard to conclude much of anything about the game…
SwishAppeal.com, women's basketball...covered SBN-style... twitter: @qmccall3
Predictions right?
It’s not often I feel confident in my pre-season prediction, but I’m really feelin’ Seattle as the powerhouse in the west. They aren’t 11 players deep, but they have enough bench strength that they really should be able to conserve some minutes, and try to stay healty for a change.
That was impressive last night.
Storm got into Seattle same day as Dream
You say Dream was coming to the end of their road trip, well the Storm got back to Seattle the same day they did, and they both have played the same amount of games. What say you about the Storm’s fatique eh? I imgaine the game will be different in Atlanta, it will be an even bigger battle, I’m not ready to bet on who will win. It’s too months away and anything can happen. I love the Dream, they are my second favorite team, so I hope they continue to be the beast of the east, but the Storm have one much needed advantage that the Dream do not have veterans.
True that they got in at the same time...
…and I don’t put that much into the road fatigue factor….
But the fact is that coming home after 2 games has to be considered a little different than playing that third road game…especially in Key Arena… it’s a strong home court advantage, as Pelton pointed out last year.
SwishAppeal.com, women's basketball...covered SBN-style... twitter: @qmccall3

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