Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Events Cause Mariners To Lose To Rangers

Quick Statistical Summary: Turnovers Kill Baylor In 65-64 Loss To UConn

There will be plenty of dialogue about Baylor's 65-64 loss to UConn (and plenty for Baylor players and coaches to lament):

  • Why did Baylor coach Kim Mulkey call a timeout at the end of the game?
  • Why did Baylor guards penetrate so deeply instead of driving more under control?
  • Why didn't star center Brittney Griner get more touches early on?
  • How might Baylor have performed with senior point guard Kelli Griffin still on the team?

Others will get to those things, but the biggest problem for Baylor was quite clearly their turnovers.

Star-divide

Key statistic: turnover percentage

It's hard to win a game against anyone - much less UConn - if you're turning the ball over on nearly 30% of your possessions while the other team is manages to keep their turnover percentage down to 13.38%. It's especially costly when you have a weapon like Brittney Griner who you can utilize in a half court offense. The blame can't be placed entirely on losing their starting point guard just before the season, but seeing as how none of their ball handlers were particularly efficient, you have to wonder?

UConn statistical MVP: Maya Moore

This was obvious from watching: Moore was just on an entirely different level than anyone on the court. But how dominant was she? Moore accounted for 51.23% of UConn's overall production. She had a 34.43% usage rate - which means UConn relied on her heavily to score - and only turned the ball over on 9.03% of the time and had a true shooting percentage of 53.19%, partially on the strength of threes and 5-for-5 free throw shooting.

Given that she shot 3-for-10 from the three point line and had a 2point percentage of 50%, you might want her to relax on the threes. On the other hand, there was a very good reason not to go into the paint.

Baylor statistical MVP: Brittney Griner

Given that Griner was closer to a double-double with points and blocks than points and rebounds, you know she was dominant. Her presence in the paint forced UConn into 23 three points and an effective field goal percentage of 36.43%. Her scoring efficiency helped get Baylor back in the game with a true shooting percentage of 53.16%, which is solid. But her biggest contribution was unquestionably her free throw rate of over 100% - she got to the line 13 times and foul trouble played no small part in the outcome of this game.

While we can debate whether she got enough touches or if missing 8 free throws was a problem, UConn also deserves praise for preventing Griner from doing more damage by holding her to 1 offensive rebound and preventing Baylor from getting more than 20% of the available offensive rebounds.

Key player: Kelly Faris

Faris didn't have a big scoring game, which means her performance might be overlooked. But she was efficient as a ball handler with a pure point rating of 2.08 and her four steals were critical in creating those turnovers that just killed Baylor - Faris and Moore had 10 steals between them, which is quite remarkable.

What about UConn's depth?

Another interesting note is help these two stars received from teammates: Baylor had three players that outplayed everybody on UConn's roster except Moore and there was a significant gap between those three (Griner, Sims, Hayden) and Faris close. If UConn had lost this game, we'd immediately start questioning their depth.Then again, we could look at Baylor's roster and say that beyond 3-4 players (add Melissa Jones to the above trio) the other players contributed far less than the end of UConn's roster.

Of course, that's part of the folly of the hype about a November 16th game for a sport that gets its greatest attention in March: both of these teams have a lot to figure out and if they are to somehow meet again come tournament time, you'll see two very different units at work.

Comment 12 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Around SB Nation

Comments

Display:

Kim Mulkey's view

Kim thought her guard play was good. She said most of the turnovers were on entry passes which I disagree with. She basically said her problems had nothing to do with Point Guard play and missing Kelli Griffin but more to do with wing entry passes. She had nothing but praise for Sims.

by Holly C. Tanneyhill on Nov 16, 2010 9:52 PM EST reply actions  

Thanks for that insight

I’d be interested to know where you think those turnovers did come from.

For most of the time I saw guards handling the ball 2-3 feet beyond the 3point arc or driving to the rim without looking to pass w/o much in between. By the second half, they seemed afraid to do anything more too complex in the middle.

SwishAppeal.com for women's basketball...SB Nation Seattle for Seattle sports. Twitter: @NateP_SBN.

by Nate Parham on Nov 16, 2010 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

From what I saw....

A lot of it was just young mistakes. Travels, offensive fouls, over penetration, and their bigs trying to do things that they are not equipped to do or can’t do while playing UConn (Or anyone with any athletic ability) . Melissa Jones for a senior had some passes that middle school players would know better than trying to make. One in particular was a behind a back pass that a simple tip would have worked.

I know what Kim meant. some wing passes would have been better from an angle but they attempted these passes straight on.

by Holly C. Tanneyhill on Nov 16, 2010 10:54 PM EST up reply actions  

Lots of Questions Answered

Does Maya Moore have the ability to carry a team on her back in tough games? Yes.
Is Brittney Griner all that and a bag of chips? Yes.
Will Connecticut fold up and die when challenged, the way Mike Tyson did against Buster Douglas? No.
Does the championship go through UConn? Yes.

by James Bowman on Nov 16, 2010 10:36 PM EST reply actions  

"Does the championship go through UConn? Yes."

This might be the key one – it’s clear there’ll be no let up on their end. Someone is going to have to step up and find a way to solve Moore when she’s playing that ridiculous. And I don’t know who that is yet…

Without a post like Charles, someone who can pressure the guards and force them into more turnovers might be the key…

SwishAppeal.com for women's basketball...SB Nation Seattle for Seattle sports. Twitter: @NateP_SBN.

by Nate Parham on Nov 16, 2010 10:42 PM EST up reply actions  

that time out

was one of the most bizarre things of the night. Kim said she wanted to make a defensive adjustment but there were 2 seconds on the shot clock left with a team that has been shooting jump shots all night. Your center is 6-8. Take the chance. Worse case scenerio they score but you have a time out to set up a 3.

by Holly C. Tanneyhill on Nov 17, 2010 12:06 AM EST up reply actions  

I was more impressed with Odyssey Sims than Griner...

Griner shows no desire to rebound the ball. She gets rebounds because she is tall not because she goes after them. Griner had 7 rebounds (1 offensive) in 40 minutes. Dolson had 8 in 12 minutes. She also doesn’t assert herself on the offensive end. Well she didn’t for long stretches.

Sims is going to be a major player. She can shoot, she can rebound. Once her decision making improves she will be unstoppable.

by Holly C. Tanneyhill on Nov 17, 2010 12:03 AM EST up reply actions  

I think especially if we start looking ahead to what kind of pro she can be..

The offensive rebounding is something to look at. Not sure why she doesn’t go harder in that regard.

She’s no Allyssa DeHaan… but still…

SwishAppeal.com for women's basketball...SB Nation Seattle for Seattle sports. Twitter: @NateP_SBN.

by Nate Parham on Nov 17, 2010 3:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Great opener for ESPN2...

A loss is a loss, but considering the turnovers, the blown opportunities at the free-throw line, this being game #4 in five days, and that it took place in Hartford, Baylor has too feel about as good as you can in a one-point defeat.

by RP_45 on Nov 17, 2010 3:59 PM EST reply actions  

"this being game #4 in five days"

That is exactly why this game has far less meaning than the hype suggests to me.

Not that it’s entirely meaningless – it gives us a sense of where the teams are – but there aren’t many conclusions you can draw from it….including whether UConn is definitively the better team here…

SwishAppeal.com for women's basketball...SB Nation Seattle for Seattle sports. Twitter: @NateP_SBN.

by Nate Parham on Nov 17, 2010 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Passionate basketball fans honoring the beauty and skill of the game.

Facebook badge

SBN Women's College Basketball Blogroll

ACC

Blogger So Dear (Wake Forest)

Streaking the Lawn (Virginia)

Big 12

Crimson and Cream Machine (Oklahoma)

Double T Nation (Texas Tech)

I Am The 12th Man (Texas A&M)

Big East:

Anonymous Eagle  (Marquette)

The UConn Blog

Big Ten

Black Heart Gold Pants (Iowa)

Hammer & Rails (Purdue)

Sippin' On Purple (Northwestern)

MAC:

Hustle Belt (conference blog)

Pac-12

Bruins Nation (UCLA)

Building the Dam (Oregon St)

California Golden Blogs (Cal)

Rule of Tree (Stanford)

SEC

Rocky Top Talk (Tennessee)

 


Managers

Natehead_small Nate Parham

Seth_twitter_pic_4_small Seth Pollack

Reffeet_small Jessica Lantz

Editors

Background2_small Queenie

Bowtie_001_small James Bowman

Authors

Maya_small Scotter

Reunion_crop_small Holly C. Tanneyhill

Small M Robinson

Small Ray Floriani

339989_2352026010636_1549728496_32463242_1925189807_o_small Kris Willis